Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:30 • Chorten Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.68) 1.22 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.1% 17.8% 16.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
3 - 1
7.7%
2 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 2.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 9.3% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.3% 7.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.9% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJagielloniaRaków Częstochowa
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack67%47%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jagiellonia Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins83%33%58%33%50%42%
Draws0%50%25%33%0%17%
Loses17%17%17%33%50%42%

Form: Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWL • Raków Częstochowa: WLLWLLDDWWLW

League goals

Metric Jagiellonia Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
GF total177248614
GF avg2.81.22.01.31.01.2
GA total96157916
GA avg1.51.01.31.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJagielloniaRaków Częstochowa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%75%75%
1.558%42%33%50%
2.533%8%8%8%
3.517%8%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJagielloniaRaków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Clean sheets224123
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricJagielloniaRaków Częstochowa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricJagielloniaRaków Częstochowa
Wins42
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-22-02-3
Biggest losses0-42-11-23-1
Goals For5223
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricJagielloniaRaków Częstochowa
Form44%56%
Att59%41%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Jagiellonia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ 188Bet
Draw3.39 @ Pinnacle
Away3.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jagiellonia = 2.49 (league 1.68), Raków Częstochowa = 1.22 (league 1.23)

Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 2.4% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.6% 9.3% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.3% 7.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.9% 4.8% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
5 2.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.1% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 16.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1