Ekstraklasa — Poland
Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 17:00 • Polsat Plus Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.23 (league 1.67) 1.70 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.9% 14.8% 16.7%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.9%
2 - 1
6.4%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Radomiak Radom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Gdansk 0 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
2 3.8% 6.4% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.9% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
4 3.3% 5.6% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.1% 3.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLechia GdanskRadomiak Radom
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack53%60%
Defense33%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lechia Gdansk Radomiak Radom
HATHAT
Played58137613
Wins40%25%31%57%0%31%
Draws40%13%23%29%33%31%
Loses20%63%46%14%67%38%

Form: Lechia Gdansk: LLDDLWLWWLDWL • Radomiak Radom: WDWLLDLLWDWLD

League goals

Metric Lechia Gdansk Radomiak Radom
HATHAT
GF total10122215823
GF avg2.01.51.72.11.31.8
GA total8212971623
GA avg1.62.62.21.02.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLechia GdanskRadomiak Radom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%92%92%
1.554%69%46%46%
2.523%38%23%31%
3.58%15%8%8%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLechia GdanskRadomiak Radom
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricLechia GdanskRadomiak Radom
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricLechia GdanskRadomiak Radom
Wins21
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-45-1—
Biggest losses3-46-21-24-1
Goals For3452
Goals Against4624

Model comparison

MetricLechia GdanskRadomiak Radom
Form47%53%
Att47%53%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h29%71%
Goals31%69%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Radomiak Radom and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ SBO
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away3.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Unibet
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lechia Gdansk = 3.23 (league 1.67), Radomiak Radom = 1.70 (league 1.22)

Radomiak Radom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Gdansk 0 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.3% 4.0% 3.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
2 3.8% 6.4% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 4.1% 6.9% 5.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
4 3.3% 5.6% 4.7% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
5 2.1% 3.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.9% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 16.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1