Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:45 • Stadion Poznan
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.68) 1.85 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.3% 20.7% 33.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
1 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 1.9% 3.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4%
1 4.1% 7.5% 7.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.0% 5.5% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.5% 2.9% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLech PoznanMotor Lublin
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack88%100%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lech Poznan Motor Lublin
HATHAT
Played75126612
Wins29%60%42%33%17%25%
Draws43%40%42%50%33%42%
Loses29%0%17%17%50%33%

Form: Lech Poznan: LWWDWLWDDWDD • Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDDLLW

League goals

Metric Lech Poznan Motor Lublin
HATHAT
GF total119209716
GF avg1.61.81.71.51.21.3
GA total1351881321
GA avg1.91.01.51.32.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLech PoznanMotor Lublin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%75%75%67%
1.558%50%42%58%
2.58%17%17%25%
3.58%8%0%17%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLech PoznanMotor Lublin
HATHAT
Clean sheets033314
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricLech PoznanMotor Lublin
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricLech PoznanMotor Lublin
Wins21
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-00-1
Biggest losses1-4—2-54-1
Goals For2433
Goals Against4354

Model comparison

MetricLech PoznanMotor Lublin
Form58%42%
Att44%56%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Lech Poznan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away5.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.44 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.70 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lech Poznan = 2.09 (league 1.68), Motor Lublin = 1.85 (league 1.23)

Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 1.9% 3.6% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4%
1 4.1% 7.5% 7.0% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.9% 7.3% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 3.0% 5.5% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.5% 2.9% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.3% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 33.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1