Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 13:45 • Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Józef
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.68) 0.34 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.3% 30.4% 10.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.6%
0 - 0
20.7%
2 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nieciecza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 20.7% 7.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 8.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegia WarszawaNieciecza
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack29%43%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legia Warszawa Nieciecza
HATHAT
Played67137714
Wins50%14%31%0%29%14%
Draws50%29%38%29%29%29%
Loses0%57%31%71%43%57%

Form: Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDD • Nieciecza: WLDWLDLDLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Legia Warszawa Nieciecza
HATHAT
GF total871571017
GF avg1.31.01.21.01.41.2
GA total21113171128
GA avg0.31.61.02.41.62.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegia WarszawaNieciecza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%62%79%86%
1.523%23%29%57%
2.515%15%7%43%
3.58%0%7%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegia WarszawaNieciecza
HATHAT
Clean sheets415022
Failed to score314213

Penalties

MetricLegia WarszawaNieciecza
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricLegia WarszawaNieciecza
Wins11
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-2—0-4
Biggest losses—3-10-34-2
Goals For4224
Goals Against1344

Model comparison

MetricLegia WarszawaNieciecza
Form83%17%
Att40%60%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h88%13%
Goals70%30%
Total70.7%29.5%

Advice: Double chance : Legia Warszawa or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ William Hill
Draw5.25 @ Bet365
Away7.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Legia Warszawa = 1.23 (league 1.68), Nieciecza = 0.34 (league 1.23)

Nieciecza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 20.7% 7.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 8.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.8% 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.3% · Draw 30.4% · Away win 10.2%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1