Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:30 • Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.68) 1.66 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 24.0% 44.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.7% 11.1% 9.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.3% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogon SzczecinJagiellonia
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack43%79%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogon Szczecin Jagiellonia
HATHAT
Played68147613
Wins67%13%36%71%33%54%
Draws0%25%14%0%50%23%
Loses33%63%50%29%17%23%

Form: Pogon Szczecin: LWDLLWWLLLWDWL • Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLL

League goals

Metric Pogon Szczecin Jagiellonia
HATHAT
GF total1372018725
GF avg2.20.91.42.61.21.9
GA total10152511617
GA avg1.71.91.81.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogon SzczecinJagiellonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%93%85%69%
1.550%43%54%46%
2.514%21%31%8%
3.57%14%15%8%
4.50%7%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogon SzczecinJagiellonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets101224
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricPogon SzczecinJagiellonia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricPogon SzczecinJagiellonia
Wins24
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-24-01-2
Biggest losses0-35-10-42-1
Goals For4252
Goals Against4542

Model comparison

MetricPogon SzczecinJagiellonia
Form50%50%
Att35%65%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h75%25%
Goals57%43%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : Pogon Szczecin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away3.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogon Szczecin = 1.31 (league 1.68), Jagiellonia = 1.66 (league 1.23)

Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
1 6.7% 11.1% 9.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.4% 7.3% 6.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.9% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 44.9%

Vtot 6 , Vtod5