Ekstraklasa — Poland
Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 19:30 • KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.67) 1.38 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 26.1% 39.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Lubin 0 7.2% 9.9% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.0% 12.4% 8.6% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 7.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZaglebie LubinGornik Zabrze
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack90%100%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zaglebie Lubin Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Played67138614
Wins50%14%31%75%50%64%
Draws50%43%46%0%33%14%
Loses0%43%23%25%17%21%

Form: Zaglebie Lubin: LDDWLDWDWLWDD • Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWDWDWW

League goals

Metric Zaglebie Lubin Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
GF total1872518826
GF avg3.01.01.92.31.31.9
GA total810188412
GA avg1.31.41.41.00.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZaglebie LubinGornik Zabrze
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%86%71%
1.554%46%50%14%
2.523%8%36%0%
3.515%0%7%0%
4.58%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZaglebie LubinGornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Clean sheets112134
Failed to score022202

Penalties

MetricZaglebie LubinGornik Zabrze
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricZaglebie LubinGornik Zabrze
Wins12
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-25-10-3
Biggest losses—3-10-12-1
Goals For6253
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricZaglebie LubinGornik Zabrze
Form42%58%
Att43%57%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h60%40%
Goals55%45%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : Zaglebie Lubin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.38 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ SBO
Under 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Zaglebie Lubin = 1.26 (league 1.67), Gornik Zabrze = 1.38 (league 1.22)

Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Lubin 0 7.2% 9.9% 6.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.0% 12.4% 8.6% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.7% 7.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 2.4% 3.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 39.5%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1