Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:15 • Chorten Arena
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
3.11 (league 1.67) 1.83 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 15.8% 19.6%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.6%
2 - 1
6.3%
3 - 2
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
GKS Katowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.2% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
2 3.5% 6.3% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.6% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.8% 5.1% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
5 1.7% 3.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJagielloniaGKS Katowice
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack73%67%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jagiellonia GKS Katowice
HATHAT
Played77148715
Wins71%43%57%38%29%33%
Draws0%43%21%13%14%13%
Loses29%14%21%50%57%53%

Form: Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLW • GKS Katowice: LDLLWLWLLDLWWWL

League goals

Metric Jagiellonia GKS Katowice
HATHAT
GF total18927111021
GF avg2.61.31.91.41.41.4
GA total11718131427
GA avg1.61.01.31.62.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJagielloniaGKS Katowice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%60%87%
1.557%43%33%60%
2.529%7%27%33%
3.514%7%13%0%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJagielloniaGKS Katowice
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score112336

Penalties

MetricJagielloniaGKS Katowice
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricJagielloniaGKS Katowice
Wins43
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-24-12-5
Biggest losses0-42-10-33-0
Goals For5245
Goals Against4233

Model comparison

MetricJagielloniaGKS Katowice
Form50%50%
Att52%48%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Jagiellonia or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 188Bet
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ 188Bet
No2.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Jagiellonia = 3.11 (league 1.67), GKS Katowice = 1.83 (league 1.22)

GKS Katowice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.2% 4.1% 3.7% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4%
2 3.5% 6.3% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.6% 6.0% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
4 2.8% 5.1% 4.7% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
5 1.7% 3.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 15.8% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1