Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:45 • Enea Poznań
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.67) 2.17 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 19.4% 35.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.1%
2 - 1
6.6%
1 - 2
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Radomiak Radom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 1.1% 2.5% 2.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
1 2.6% 5.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1%
2 3.0% 6.6% 7.1% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.3% 5.0% 5.5% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9%
4 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLech PoznanRadomiak Radom
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack40%73%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lech Poznan Radomiak Radom
HATHAT
Played86148715
Wins25%50%36%63%14%40%
Draws50%33%43%25%29%27%
Loses25%17%21%13%57%33%

Form: Lech Poznan: LWWDWLWDDWDDDL • Radomiak Radom: WDWLLDLLWDWLDWW

League goals

Metric Lech Poznan Radomiak Radom
HATHAT
GF total131023181028
GF avg1.61.71.62.31.41.9
GA total1582371724
GA avg1.91.31.60.92.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLech PoznanRadomiak Radom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%79%93%87%
1.557%57%53%40%
2.57%21%27%27%
3.57%7%7%7%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLech PoznanRadomiak Radom
HATHAT
Clean sheets033202
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricLech PoznanRadomiak Radom
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLech PoznanRadomiak Radom
Wins21
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-25-11-2
Biggest losses1-43-11-24-1
Goals For2452
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricLech PoznanRadomiak Radom
Form38%63%
Att35%65%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h75%25%
Goals60%40%
Total50.8%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lech Poznan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lech Poznan = 2.30 (league 1.67), Radomiak Radom = 2.17 (league 1.22)

Radomiak Radom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 1.1% 2.5% 2.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
1 2.6% 5.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.4% 1.1%
2 3.0% 6.6% 7.1% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2%
3 2.3% 5.0% 5.5% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9%
4 1.3% 2.9% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.6% 1.3% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1