Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 19:15 • Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.68) 0.73 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.6% 20.1% 12.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.0%
1 - 0
13.0%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lechia Gdansk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 6.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegia WarszawaLechia Gdansk
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack29%50%
Defense36%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legia Warszawa Lechia Gdansk
HATHAT
Played77147815
Wins43%14%29%43%25%33%
Draws43%29%36%29%13%20%
Loses14%57%36%29%63%47%

Form: Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDDL • Lechia Gdansk: LLDDLWLWWLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Legia Warszawa Lechia Gdansk
HATHAT
GF total9716131225
GF avg1.31.01.11.91.51.7
GA total41115112132
GA avg0.61.61.11.62.62.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegia WarszawaLechia Gdansk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%64%87%87%
1.521%29%53%67%
2.514%14%20%33%
3.57%0%7%13%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegia WarszawaLechia Gdansk
HATHAT
Clean sheets415202
Failed to score314022

Penalties

MetricLegia WarszawaLechia Gdansk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLegia WarszawaLechia Gdansk
Wins12
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-03-4
Biggest losses1-23-13-46-2
Goals For4234
Goals Against2346

Model comparison

MetricLegia WarszawaLechia Gdansk
Form22%78%
Att36%64%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Legia Warszawa or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ 188Bet
Draw4.32 @ Pinnacle
Away6.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Legia Warszawa = 2.01 (league 1.68), Lechia Gdansk = 0.73 (league 1.23)

Lechia Gdansk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 6.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 13.0% 9.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.6% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 12.6%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1