Ekstraklasa — Poland
Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 17:00 • Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.69) 0.59 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.2% 25.3% 14.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
2 - 0
14.2%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Arka Gdynia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 11.9% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 10.8% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 8.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiecieczaArka Gdynia
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack32%42%
Defense37%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nieciecza Arka Gdynia
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins0%38%20%71%0%33%
Draws29%25%27%29%13%20%
Loses71%38%53%0%88%47%

Form: Nieciecza: WLDWLDLDLLLLDLW • Arka Gdynia: LDDWLLWLDLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Nieciecza Arka Gdynia
HATHAT
GF total7121911213
GF avg1.01.51.31.60.30.9
GA total17122952126
GA avg2.41.51.90.72.61.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiecieczaArka Gdynia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%87%53%80%
1.533%53%27%33%
2.57%40%7%27%
3.57%13%0%27%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiecieczaArka Gdynia
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score213167

Penalties

MetricNiecieczaArka Gdynia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricNiecieczaArka Gdynia
Wins11
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-43-1—
Biggest losses0-34-2—5-1
Goals For2431
Goals Against4415

Model comparison

MetricNiecieczaArka Gdynia
Form31%69%
Att43%57%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Nieciecza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Unibet
Draw3.54 @ Pinnacle
Away3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nieciecza = 1.54 (league 1.69), Arka Gdynia = 0.59 (league 1.23)

Arka Gdynia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 11.9% 7.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 10.8% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 8.3% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.2% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 14.0%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1