Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:45 • Stadion Miejski w Gdyni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.67) 0.86 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.8% 28.0% 23.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arka Gdynia 0 11.1% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.8% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArka GdyniaRaków Częstochowa
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack40%60%
Defense13%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arka Gdynia Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Played79167815
Wins71%0%31%29%63%47%
Draws29%11%19%29%0%13%
Loses0%89%50%43%38%40%

Form: Arka Gdynia: LDDWLLWLDLWLWLWL • Raków Częstochowa: WLLWLLDDWWLWWWL

League goals

Metric Arka Gdynia Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
GF total1121391221
GF avg1.60.20.81.31.51.4
GA total52328101121
GA avg0.72.61.81.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArka GdyniaRaków Częstochowa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%81%80%80%
1.525%38%40%47%
2.56%25%13%13%
3.50%25%7%0%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArka GdyniaRaków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score178123

Penalties

MetricArka GdyniaRaków Częstochowa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricArka GdyniaRaków Częstochowa
Wins13
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-01-4
Biggest losses5-11-33-1
Goals For3124
Goals Against1533

Model comparison

MetricArka GdyniaRaków Częstochowa
Form40%60%
Att40%60%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h20%80%
Goals35%65%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Raków Częstochowa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away1.93 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Betfair
No1.70 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Arka Gdynia = 1.34 (league 1.67), Raków Częstochowa = 0.86 (league 1.22)

Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arka Gdynia 0 11.1% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.8% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.8% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 23.9%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1