Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 19:15 • Stadion GKS Katowice
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.69) 1.17 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 25.0% 28.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pogon Szczecin
0 1 2 3 4 5
GKS Katowice 0 6.4% 7.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.3% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGKS KatowicePogon Szczecin
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack48%48%
Defense71%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GKS Katowice Pogon Szczecin
HATHAT
Played87158816
Wins38%29%33%63%13%38%
Draws13%14%13%0%25%13%
Loses50%57%53%38%63%50%

Form: GKS Katowice: LDLLWLWLLDLWWWL • Pogon Szczecin: LWDLLWWLLLWDWLLW

League goals

Metric GKS Katowice Pogon Szczecin
HATHAT
GF total11102119726
GF avg1.41.41.42.40.91.6
GA total131427131528
GA avg1.62.01.81.61.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGKS KatowicePogon Szczecin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%87%75%94%
1.533%60%50%44%
2.527%33%19%19%
3.513%0%13%13%
4.57%0%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGKS KatowicePogon Szczecin
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score336134

Penalties

MetricGKS KatowicePogon Szczecin
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGKS KatowicePogon Szczecin
Wins32
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-55-11-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-35-1
Goals For4552
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricGKS KatowicePogon Szczecin
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%63%
Total51.2%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pogon Szczecin

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away2.44 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GKS Katowice = 1.58 (league 1.69), Pogon Szczecin = 1.17 (league 1.23)

Pogon Szczecin
0 1 2 3 4 5
GKS Katowice 0 6.4% 7.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.3% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.2% 4.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 28.2%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1