Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:45 • Polsat Plus Arena Gdansk
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.68) 1.95 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 21.6% 42.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
8.4%
2 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Nieciecza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Gdansk 0 2.6% 5.1% 5.0% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.4% 8.7% 8.4% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.3% 7.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.1% 4.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLechia GdanskNieciecza
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack38%29%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lechia Gdansk Nieciecza
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins43%22%31%13%38%25%
Draws29%22%25%25%25%25%
Loses29%56%44%63%38%50%

Form: Lechia Gdansk: LLDDLWLWWLDWLLWD • Nieciecza: WLDWLDLDLLLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Lechia Gdansk Nieciecza
HATHAT
GF total13142791221
GF avg1.91.61.71.11.51.3
GA total112334171229
GA avg1.62.62.12.11.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLechia GdanskNieciecza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%81%81%
1.556%69%38%50%
2.519%31%6%38%
3.56%13%6%13%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLechia GdanskNieciecza
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricLechia GdanskNieciecza
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLechia GdanskNieciecza
Wins21
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-42-00-4
Biggest losses3-46-20-34-2
Goals For3424
Goals Against4644

Model comparison

MetricLechia GdanskNieciecza
Form50%50%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h91%9%
Goals88%13%
Total63.5%36.7%

Advice: Double chance : Lechia Gdansk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.74 @ 188Bet
Draw4.41 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ 188Bet
No2.50 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lechia Gdansk = 1.69 (league 1.68), Nieciecza = 1.95 (league 1.23)

Nieciecza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Gdansk 0 2.6% 5.1% 5.0% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
1 4.4% 8.7% 8.4% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.8% 7.3% 7.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.1% 4.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
4 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 42.8%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1