Ekstraklasa — Poland
Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 18:00 • Motor Lublin Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.68) 1.05 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.7% 27.4% 29.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 9.2% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.9% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.6% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotor LublinLegia Warszawa
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack67%33%
Defense40%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motor Lublin Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%25%27%38%14%27%
Draws57%38%47%50%29%40%
Loses14%38%27%13%57%33%

Form: Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDDLLWDDW • Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDDLD

League goals

Metric Motor Lublin Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
GF total10112111718
GF avg1.41.41.41.41.01.2
GA total9162561117
GA avg1.32.01.70.81.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotor LublinLegia Warszawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%73%73%67%
1.547%53%27%33%
2.513%20%13%13%
3.50%13%7%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotor LublinLegia Warszawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets314415
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricMotor LublinLegia Warszawa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMotor LublinLegia Warszawa
Wins11
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-10-2
Biggest losses2-54-11-23-1
Goals For3342
Goals Against5423

Model comparison

MetricMotor LublinLegia Warszawa
Form73%27%
Att67%33%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Motor Lublin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away2.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motor Lublin = 1.33 (league 1.68), Legia Warszawa = 1.05 (league 1.23)

Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 9.2% 9.7% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.9% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.6% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 29.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1