Ekstraklasa — Poland
Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 19:30 • Stadion Radomiaka
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.68) 0.80 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.0% 29.6% 24.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Radomiak Radom 0 13.1% 10.5% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.1% 12.9% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.9% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRadomiak RadomGornik Zabrze
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack39%39%
Defense61%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Radomiak Radom Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins63%13%38%67%43%56%
Draws25%25%25%11%29%19%
Loses13%63%38%22%29%25%

Form: Radomiak Radom: WDWLLDLLWDWLDWWL • Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWDWDWWLD

League goals

Metric Radomiak Radom Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
GF total18112919827
GF avg2.31.41.82.11.11.7
GA total721289615
GA avg0.92.61.81.00.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRadomiak RadomGornik Zabrze
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%88%81%75%
1.550%44%44%19%
2.525%31%31%0%
3.56%13%6%0%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRadomiak RadomGornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Clean sheets202134
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricRadomiak RadomGornik Zabrze
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricRadomiak RadomGornik Zabrze
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-25-10-3
Biggest losses1-24-10-12-0
Goals For5253
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricRadomiak RadomGornik Zabrze
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gornik Zabrze

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.90 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Unibet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Radomiak Radom = 1.23 (league 1.68), Gornik Zabrze = 0.80 (league 1.23)

Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Radomiak Radom 0 13.1% 10.5% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.1% 12.9% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.9% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 24.2%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1