Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 19:15 • Stadion im. Kazimierza Gorskiego
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.67) 0.69 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 29.8% 20.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wisla Plock 0 14.4% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 7.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWisla PlockLech Poznan
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack53%60%
Defense73%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wisla Plock Lech Poznan
HATHAT
Played87159615
Wins75%14%47%33%50%40%
Draws13%71%40%44%33%40%
Loses13%14%13%22%17%20%

Form: Wisla Plock: WWWDWWLLDDWDWDD • Lech Poznan: LWWDWLWDDWDDDLW

League goals

Metric Wisla Plock Lech Poznan
HATHAT
GF total13720171027
GF avg1.61.01.31.91.71.8
GA total471116824
GA avg0.51.00.71.81.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWisla PlockLech Poznan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%73%93%80%
1.540%0%60%53%
2.57%0%13%20%
3.50%0%13%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWisla PlockLech Poznan
HATHAT
Clean sheets404033
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricWisla PlockLech Poznan
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricWisla PlockLech Poznan
Wins32
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-11-01-43-1
Goals For3244
Goals Against1143

Model comparison

MetricWisla PlockLech Poznan
Form60%40%
Att47%53%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Wisla Plock or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away2.28 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Pinnacle
No2.28 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wisla Plock = 1.24 (league 1.67), Lech Poznan = 0.69 (league 1.22)

Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wisla Plock 0 14.4% 10.0% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 7.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 20.7%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1