Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 16:30 • KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.67) 1.17 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.8% 23.7% 25.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Lubin 0 5.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.1% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.6% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZaglebie LubinJagiellonia
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack47%73%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zaglebie Lubin Jagiellonia
HATHAT
Played78157714
Wins57%13%33%71%43%57%
Draws43%38%40%0%43%21%
Loses0%50%27%29%14%21%

Form: Zaglebie Lubin: LDDWLDWDWLWDDWL • Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLW

League goals

Metric Zaglebie Lubin Jagiellonia
HATHAT
GF total2082818927
GF avg2.91.01.92.61.31.9
GA total8152311718
GA avg1.11.91.51.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZaglebie LubinJagiellonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%80%86%71%
1.553%47%57%43%
2.520%13%29%7%
3.513%7%14%7%
4.57%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZaglebie LubinJagiellonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricZaglebie LubinJagiellonia
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricZaglebie LubinJagiellonia
Wins14
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-24-01-2
Biggest losses—5-10-42-1
Goals For6252
Goals Against2542

Model comparison

MetricZaglebie LubinJagiellonia
Form47%53%
Att39%61%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Jagiellonia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away2.20 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.27 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zaglebie Lubin = 1.74 (league 1.67), Jagiellonia = 1.17 (league 1.22)

Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Lubin 0 5.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.1% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.6% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.6% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 25.5%

vtt 10 , vtd1