Ekstraklasa — Poland
Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 19:30 • Polsat Plus Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.68) 1.22 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 23.3% 26.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Gdansk 0 5.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.9% 10.8% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLechia GdanskGornik Zabrze
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack100%89%
Defense11%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lechia Gdansk Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins50%22%35%67%38%53%
Draws25%22%24%11%25%18%
Loses25%56%41%22%38%29%

Form: Lechia Gdansk: LLDDLWLWWLDWLLWDW • Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWDWDWWLDL

League goals

Metric Lechia Gdansk Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
GF total18143219827
GF avg2.31.61.92.11.01.6
GA total12233591019
GA avg1.52.62.11.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLechia GdanskGornik Zabrze
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%76%76%
1.559%65%41%24%
2.524%29%29%6%
3.512%12%6%6%
4.56%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLechia GdanskGornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Clean sheets202134
Failed to score022224

Penalties

MetricLechia GdanskGornik Zabrze
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricLechia GdanskGornik Zabrze
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-13-45-10-3
Biggest losses3-46-20-14-0
Goals For5453
Goals Against4624

Model comparison

MetricLechia GdanskGornik Zabrze
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h29%71%
Goals41%59%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gornik Zabrze

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lechia Gdansk = 1.78 (league 1.68), Gornik Zabrze = 1.22 (league 1.23)

Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Gdansk 0 5.0% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.9% 10.8% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 26.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1