Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 11:15 • Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.68) 2.21 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.5% 17.4% 70.6%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.9%
0 - 1
12.6%
0 - 3
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 5.7% 12.6% 13.9% 10.3% 5.7% 2.5%
1 3.7% 8.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.6%
2 1.2% 2.7% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiecieczaJagiellonia
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack40%73%
Defense33%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nieciecza Jagiellonia
HATHAT
Played89177714
Wins13%33%24%71%43%57%
Draws25%22%24%0%43%21%
Loses63%44%53%29%14%21%

Form: Nieciecza: WLDWLDLDLLLLDLWWL • Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLW

League goals

Metric Nieciecza Jagiellonia
HATHAT
GF total9132218927
GF avg1.11.41.32.61.31.9
GA total17173411718
GA avg2.11.92.01.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiecieczaJagiellonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%86%71%
1.535%53%57%43%
2.56%41%29%7%
3.56%18%14%7%
4.50%6%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiecieczaJagiellonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricNiecieczaJagiellonia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricNiecieczaJagiellonia
Wins24
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-44-01-2
Biggest losses0-35-10-42-1
Goals For2452
Goals Against4542

Model comparison

MetricNiecieczaJagiellonia
Form44%56%
Att35%65%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h67%33%
Goals75%25%
Total46.8%53.3%

Advice: Winner : Jagiellonia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.93 @ Pinnacle
Away2.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ 10Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nieciecza = 0.65 (league 1.68), Jagiellonia = 2.21 (league 1.23)

Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 5.7% 12.6% 13.9% 10.3% 5.7% 2.5%
1 3.7% 8.2% 9.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.6%
2 1.2% 2.7% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.5% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 70.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1