Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 11:15 • Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.67) 1.89 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 20.7% 67.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.8%
0 - 2
14.9%
0 - 3
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 8.4% 15.8% 14.9% 9.4% 4.4% 1.7%
1 5.0% 9.4% 8.8% 5.6% 2.6% 1.0%
2 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiecieczaJagiellonia
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack35%47%
Defense41%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nieciecza Jagiellonia
HATHAT
Played89177815
Wins13%33%24%71%38%53%
Draws25%22%24%0%50%27%
Loses63%44%53%29%13%20%

Form: Nieciecza: WLDWLDLDLLLLDLWWL • Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLWD

League goals

Metric Nieciecza Jagiellonia
HATHAT
GF total9132218927
GF avg1.11.41.32.61.11.8
GA total17173411718
GA avg2.11.92.01.60.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiecieczaJagiellonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%82%80%67%
1.535%53%53%40%
2.56%41%27%7%
3.56%18%13%7%
4.50%6%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiecieczaJagiellonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricNiecieczaJagiellonia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricNiecieczaJagiellonia
Wins24
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-44-01-2
Biggest losses0-35-10-42-1
Goals For2452
Goals Against4542

Model comparison

MetricNiecieczaJagiellonia
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h67%33%
Goals75%25%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : Nieciecza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away2.04 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nieciecza = 0.59 (league 1.67), Jagiellonia = 1.89 (league 1.22)

Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 8.4% 15.8% 14.9% 9.4% 4.4% 1.7%
1 5.0% 9.4% 8.8% 5.6% 2.6% 1.0%
2 1.5% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 67.1%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1