Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 16:30 • Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.64) 0.67 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.4% 36.9% 27.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.8%
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Korona Kielce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 22.8% 15.4% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.4% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegia WarszawaKorona Kielce
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack24%29%
Defense53%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legia Warszawa Korona Kielce
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%11%22%44%22%33%
Draws44%33%39%22%44%33%
Loses22%56%39%33%33%33%

Form: Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDDLDDLL • Korona Kielce: LLDWDWWWDWLDLDLWLD

League goals

Metric Legia Warszawa Korona Kielce
HATHAT
GF total1181912921
GF avg1.20.91.11.31.01.2
GA total7142191019
GA avg0.81.61.21.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegia WarszawaKorona Kielce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%72%67%67%
1.522%33%28%22%
2.511%11%22%11%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegia WarszawaKorona Kielce
HATHAT
Clean sheets415426
Failed to score426246

Penalties

MetricLegia WarszawaKorona Kielce
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLegia WarszawaKorona Kielce
Wins13
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-23-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-11-43-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricLegia WarszawaKorona Kielce
Form29%71%
Att44%56%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h62%38%
Goals57%43%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Legia Warszawa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Unibet
Away4.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Legia Warszawa = 0.80 (league 1.64), Korona Kielce = 0.67 (league 1.19)

Korona Kielce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 22.8% 15.4% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.4% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.4% · Draw 36.9% · Away win 27.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1