Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:15 • Motor Lublin Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.64) 0.80 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 26.1% 19.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Pogon Szczecin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 9.9% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 12.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotor LublinPogon Szczecin
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack36%57%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motor Lublin Pogon Szczecin
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins22%22%22%56%11%33%
Draws67%33%50%11%22%17%
Loses11%44%28%33%67%50%

Form: Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDDLLWDDWDLD • Pogon Szczecin: LWDLLWWLLLWDWLLWLD

League goals

Metric Motor Lublin Pogon Szczecin
HATHAT
GF total12112321728
GF avg1.31.21.32.30.81.6
GA total111728151732
GA avg1.21.91.61.71.91.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotor LublinPogon Szczecin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%72%94%
1.539%44%50%50%
2.511%17%17%17%
3.50%11%11%11%
4.50%6%6%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotor LublinPogon Szczecin
HATHAT
Clean sheets314101
Failed to score134145

Penalties

MetricMotor LublinPogon Szczecin
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMotor LublinPogon Szczecin
Wins12
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-25-11-2
Biggest losses2-54-10-35-1
Goals For3352
Goals Against5445

Model comparison

MetricMotor LublinPogon Szczecin
Form60%40%
Att38%62%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h33%67%
Goals36%64%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : Motor Lublin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ 188Bet
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motor Lublin = 1.51 (league 1.64), Pogon Szczecin = 0.80 (league 1.20)

Pogon Szczecin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 9.9% 7.9% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 12.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 19.8%

vtt 6 , vtd1