Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 16:30 • Chorten Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.02 (league 1.64) 1.61 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.7% 15.7% 17.5%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 1
7.2%
3 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.0% 4.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.5% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJagielloniaMotor Lublin
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack70%60%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jagiellonia Motor Lublin
HATHAT
Played7111810919
Wins71%36%50%30%22%26%
Draws0%45%28%60%33%47%
Loses29%18%22%10%44%26%

Form: Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLWDLDW • Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDDLLWDDWDLDW

League goals

Metric Jagiellonia Motor Lublin
HATHAT
GF total181432141125
GF avg2.61.31.81.41.21.3
GA total111122121729
GA avg1.61.01.21.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJagielloniaMotor Lublin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%72%79%79%
1.550%39%42%42%
2.528%6%11%16%
3.511%6%0%11%
4.56%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJagielloniaMotor Lublin
HATHAT
Clean sheets235314
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricJagielloniaMotor Lublin
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricJagielloniaMotor Lublin
Wins41
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-42-12-54-1
Goals For5333
Goals Against4254

Model comparison

MetricJagielloniaMotor Lublin
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h75%25%
Goals78%22%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Jagiellonia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.89 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Pinnacle
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jagiellonia = 3.02 (league 1.64), Motor Lublin = 1.61 (league 1.20)

Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.0% 4.7% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
2 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.4% 5.5% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.7% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 17.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1