Ekstraklasa — Poland
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 17:00 • Exbud Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.63) 0.85 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 27.9% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Zaglebie Lubin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Korona Kielce 0 11.0% 9.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.7% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKorona KielceZaglebie Lubin
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack64%36%
Defense27%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Korona Kielce Zaglebie Lubin
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%30%37%50%22%37%
Draws22%40%32%40%33%37%
Loses33%30%32%10%44%26%

Form: Korona Kielce: LLDWDWWWDWLDLDLWLDW • Zaglebie Lubin: LDDWLDWDWLWDDWLDWWL

League goals

Metric Korona Kielce Zaglebie Lubin
HATHAT
GF total12112322931
GF avg1.31.11.22.21.01.6
GA total91120111526
GA avg1.01.11.11.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKorona KielceZaglebie Lubin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%68%79%74%
1.532%21%47%42%
2.521%11%16%11%
3.50%5%11%5%
4.50%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKorona KielceZaglebie Lubin
HATHAT
Clean sheets426325
Failed to score246224

Penalties

MetricKorona KielceZaglebie Lubin
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricKorona KielceZaglebie Lubin
Wins32
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-36-21-2
Biggest losses1-43-10-25-1
Goals For3362
Goals Against4325

Model comparison

MetricKorona KielceZaglebie Lubin
Form50%50%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total59.2%40.8%

Advice: Double chance : Korona Kielce or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.89 @ 188Bet
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away5.30 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Korona Kielce = 1.35 (league 1.63), Zaglebie Lubin = 0.85 (league 1.17)

Zaglebie Lubin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Korona Kielce 0 11.0% 9.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 12.7% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.1% 8.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.5% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 23.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1