Ekstraklasa — Poland
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 19:30 • Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.66) 1.72 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 21.2% 32.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cracovia Krakow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Gdansk 0 2.4% 4.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.8% 8.2% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.3% 5.7% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLechia GdanskCracovia Krakow
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack100%45%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lechia Gdansk Cracovia Krakow
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins56%30%42%44%40%42%
Draws22%20%21%44%20%32%
Loses22%50%37%11%40%26%

Form: Lechia Gdansk: LLDDLWLWWLDWLLWDWWW • Cracovia Krakow: WWDLWDWWDLWLDLLWDDW

League goals

Metric Lechia Gdansk Cracovia Krakow
HATHAT
GF total231740131326
GF avg2.61.72.11.41.31.4
GA total14243881321
GA avg1.62.42.00.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLechia GdanskCracovia Krakow
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%79%53%
1.563%63%42%37%
2.532%26%11%11%
3.516%11%5%5%
4.511%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLechia GdanskCracovia Krakow
HATHAT
Clean sheets202459
Failed to score022134

Penalties

MetricLechia GdanskCracovia Krakow
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLechia GdanskCracovia Krakow
Wins22
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-32-01-4
Biggest losses3-46-21-25-2
Goals For5424
Goals Against4625

Model comparison

MetricLechia GdanskCracovia Krakow
Form62%38%
Att77%23%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lechia Gdansk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lechia Gdansk = 2.03 (league 1.66), Cracovia Krakow = 1.72 (league 1.21)

Cracovia Krakow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Gdansk 0 2.4% 4.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
1 4.8% 8.2% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.3% 5.7% 4.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 32.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1