Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Feb 8 2026 • 11:15 • Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.59) 2.00 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.2% 17.8% 26.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
6.5%
2 - 2
6.5%
3 - 1
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Nieciecza
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 0.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
1 2.4% 4.8% 4.7% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
2 3.3% 6.6% 6.5% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
3 3.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 2.1% 4.2% 4.1% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
5 1.1% 2.3% 2.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogon SzczecinNieciecza
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack60%47%
Defense40%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogon Szczecin Nieciecza
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins56%10%32%20%33%26%
Draws11%20%16%20%22%21%
Loses33%70%53%60%44%53%
Pogon SzczecinLWDLLWWLLLWDWLLWLDL
NiecieczaWLDWLDLDLLLLDLWWLWL

League goals

Metric Pogon Szczecin Nieciecza
HATHAT
GF total21829111324
GF avg2.30.81.51.11.41.3
GA total151934191736
GA avg1.71.91.81.91.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogon SzczecinNieciecza
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%95%79%84%
1.547%53%37%47%
2.516%16%5%37%
3.511%11%5%16%
4.55%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogon SzczecinNieciecza
HATHAT
Clean sheets101123
Failed to score145314

Penalties

MetricPogon SzczecinNieciecza
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricPogon SzczecinNieciecza
Wins22
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-22-00-4
Biggest losses0-35-10-35-1
Goals For5224
Goals Against4545

Model comparison

MetricPogon SzczecinNieciecza
Form31%69%
Att56%44%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total53.7%46.3%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ Unibet
Draw4.77 @ Pinnacle
Away6.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 10Bet
No2.35 @ Unibet
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League standings

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