Ekstraklasa — Poland
Mon, Feb 16 2026 • 18:00 • Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.64) 1.74 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 23.7% 50.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 5.6% 9.7% 8.5% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
1 6.4% 11.1% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.7% 6.4% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiecieczaGornik Zabrze
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack55%45%
Defense27%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nieciecza Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins20%30%25%64%33%50%
Draws20%30%25%9%22%15%
Loses60%40%50%27%44%35%

Form: Nieciecza: WLDWLDLDLLLLDLWWLWLD • Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWDWDWWLDLLWL

League goals

Metric Nieciecza Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
GF total111425211031
GF avg1.11.41.31.91.11.6
GA total191837111526
GA avg1.91.81.91.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiecieczaGornik Zabrze
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%85%75%80%
1.535%45%45%25%
2.55%35%25%10%
3.55%15%5%10%
4.50%5%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiecieczaGornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Clean sheets123134
Failed to score314325

Penalties

MetricNiecieczaGornik Zabrze
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNiecieczaGornik Zabrze
Wins22
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-45-10-3
Biggest losses0-35-10-14-0
Goals For2453
Goals Against4525

Model comparison

MetricNiecieczaGornik Zabrze
Form64%36%
Att55%45%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h88%13%
Goals71%29%
Total62.8%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Nieciecza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away2.08 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nieciecza = 1.14 (league 1.64), Gornik Zabrze = 1.74 (league 1.20)

Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 5.6% 9.7% 8.5% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7%
1 6.4% 11.1% 9.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.7% 6.4% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 50.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1