Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:45 • Chorten Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 1.65) 1.16 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.8% 18.6% 17.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
8.2%
1 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 6.9% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 9.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.8% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJagielloniaLegia Warszawa
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack69%46%
Defense69%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jagiellonia Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
Played91221111122
Wins67%33%48%36%9%23%
Draws11%50%33%36%45%41%
Loses22%17%19%27%45%36%

Form: Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLWDLDWWDD • Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDDLDDLLLDDW

League goals

Metric Jagiellonia Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
GF total231437141125
GF avg2.61.21.81.31.01.1
GA total131124101727
GA avg1.40.91.10.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJagielloniaLegia Warszawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%71%73%77%
1.548%33%27%36%
2.529%5%9%9%
3.514%5%5%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJagielloniaLegia Warszawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets246415
Failed to score134426

Penalties

MetricJagielloniaLegia Warszawa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricJagielloniaLegia Warszawa
Wins41
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-42-11-23-1
Goals For5342
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricJagielloniaLegia Warszawa
Form64%36%
Att60%40%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Jagiellonia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away3.24 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jagiellonia = 2.37 (league 1.65), Legia Warszawa = 1.16 (league 1.21)

Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 6.9% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 9.5% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.5% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.8% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 17.2%

vtt 5 , vtd1