Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:30 • Enea Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.66) 2.10 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 21.0% 49.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 2.8% 5.8% 6.1% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
1 4.1% 8.6% 9.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.4%
2 3.0% 6.4% 6.7% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0%
3 1.5% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack54%15%
Defense62%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lech Poznan Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins36%45%41%36%55%45%
Draws36%36%36%27%9%18%
Loses27%18%23%36%36%36%

Form: Lech Poznan: LWWDWLWDDWDDDLWDDLLWWW • Raków Częstochowa: WLLWLLDDWWLWWWLWWLLDDW

League goals

Metric Lech Poznan Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
GF total211536111728
GF avg1.91.41.61.01.51.3
GA total191231111425
GA avg1.71.11.41.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%73%73%68%
1.555%45%32%36%
2.514%18%14%9%
3.59%5%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Clean sheets156437
Failed to score033336

Penalties

MetricLech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricLech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
Wins23
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-01-4
Biggest losses1-43-11-33-1
Goals For4424
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricLech PoznanRaków Częstochowa
Form64%36%
Att78%22%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total50.2%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Raków Częstochowa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away3.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ SBO
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ 188Bet
No2.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lech Poznan = 1.48 (league 1.66), Raków Częstochowa = 2.10 (league 1.21)

Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lech Poznan 0 2.8% 5.8% 6.1% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
1 4.1% 8.6% 9.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.4%
2 3.0% 6.4% 6.7% 4.7% 2.5% 1.0%
3 1.5% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 49.8%

vtt 4 , vtd1