Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:15 • Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.63) 1.95 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 22.0% 47.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
1 - 2
9.1%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Radomiak Radom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 3.3% 6.3% 6.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8%
1 4.8% 9.4% 9.1% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.8% 3.4% 3.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiecieczaRadomiak Radom
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack25%44%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nieciecza Radomiak Radom
HATHAT
Played111122101121
Wins18%27%23%60%9%33%
Draws27%27%27%20%45%33%
Loses55%45%50%20%45%33%

Form: Nieciecza: WLDWLDLDLLLLDLWWLWLDDL • Radomiak Radom: WDWLLDLLWDWLDWWLWDDLD

League goals

Metric Nieciecza Radomiak Radom
HATHAT
GF total121426221436
GF avg1.11.31.22.21.31.7
GA total20193992433
GA avg1.81.71.80.92.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiecieczaRadomiak Radom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%86%86%81%
1.532%41%48%43%
2.55%32%24%24%
3.55%14%10%10%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiecieczaRadomiak Radom
HATHAT
Clean sheets123314
Failed to score325123

Penalties

MetricNiecieczaRadomiak Radom
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricNiecieczaRadomiak Radom
Wins22
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-45-11-2
Biggest losses0-35-10-24-1
Goals For2452
Goals Against4524

Model comparison

MetricNiecieczaRadomiak Radom
Form45%55%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h36%64%
Goals38%63%
Total41.3%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Radomiak Radom

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nieciecza = 1.48 (league 1.63), Radomiak Radom = 1.95 (league 1.20)

Radomiak Radom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 3.3% 6.3% 6.1% 4.0% 1.9% 0.8%
1 4.8% 9.4% 9.1% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.8% 3.4% 3.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 47.1%

vtt 3 , vtd1