Ekstraklasa — Poland
Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:30 • Polsat Plus Arena Gdańsk
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.65) 1.49 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.4% 25.5% 43.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Gdansk 0 6.7% 10.1% 7.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.9% 7.3% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.0% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLechia GdanskJagiellonia
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack47%53%
Defense58%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lechia Gdansk Jagiellonia
HATHAT
Played111223101222
Wins45%33%39%60%33%45%
Draws27%25%26%20%50%36%
Loses27%42%35%20%17%18%

Form: Lechia Gdansk: LLDDLWLWWLDWLLWDWWWDWLD • Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLWDLDWWDDD

League goals

Metric Lechia Gdansk Jagiellonia
HATHAT
GF total242246251439
GF avg2.21.82.02.51.21.8
GA total172845151126
GA avg1.52.32.01.50.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLechia GdanskJagiellonia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%91%82%73%
1.561%65%50%36%
2.530%22%27%5%
3.513%9%14%5%
4.59%4%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLechia GdanskJagiellonia
HATHAT
Clean sheets202246
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricLechia GdanskJagiellonia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricLechia GdanskJagiellonia
Wins34
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-26-20-42-1
Goals For5453
Goals Against4642

Model comparison

MetricLechia GdanskJagiellonia
Form47%53%
Att47%53%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total40.7%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Jagiellonia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ 10Bet
Draw3.70 @ Betfair
Away2.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lechia Gdansk = 1.20 (league 1.65), Jagiellonia = 1.49 (league 1.21)

Jagiellonia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lechia Gdansk 0 6.7% 10.1% 7.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.9% 7.3% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.0% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 43.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1