Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:15 • Motor Lublin Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.64) 1.18 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 25.1% 28.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 6.5% 7.7% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.9% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotor LublinGornik Zabrze
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack53%24%
Defense47%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motor Lublin Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins33%27%30%58%27%43%
Draws50%27%39%8%27%17%
Loses17%45%30%33%45%39%

Form: Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDDLLWDDWDLDWLLWW • Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWDWDWWLDLLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Motor Lublin Gornik Zabrze
HATHAT
GF total181432211233
GF avg1.51.31.41.81.11.4
GA total152237121931
GA avg1.32.01.61.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotor LublinGornik Zabrze
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%78%74%83%
1.548%43%39%26%
2.59%22%22%13%
3.50%13%4%9%
4.50%4%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotor LublinGornik Zabrze
HATHAT
Clean sheets415134
Failed to score134426

Penalties

MetricMotor LublinGornik Zabrze
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMotor LublinGornik Zabrze
Wins12
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-25-10-3
Biggest losses2-54-10-14-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against5425

Model comparison

MetricMotor LublinGornik Zabrze
Form69%31%
Att69%31%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h67%33%
Goals33%67%
Total56.7%43.3%

Advice: Double chance : Motor Lublin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away2.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Unibet
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motor Lublin = 1.55 (league 1.64), Gornik Zabrze = 1.18 (league 1.21)

Gornik Zabrze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 6.5% 7.7% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.1% 11.9% 7.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.2% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 4.0% 4.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 28.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1