Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:30 • Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.65) 1.41 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.4% 23.9% 32.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gornik Zabrze 0 4.7% 6.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.8% 11.0% 7.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGornik ZabrzeRaków Częstochowa
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack29%86%
Defense14%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gornik Zabrze Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins58%25%42%42%50%46%
Draws8%33%21%25%8%17%
Loses33%42%38%33%42%38%

Form: Gornik Zabrze: WWLLWWLWWDWDWWLDLLWLDLLD • Raków Częstochowa: WLLWLLDDWWLWWWLWWLLDDWLW

League goals

Metric Gornik Zabrze Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
GF total211233132033
GF avg1.81.01.41.11.71.4
GA total121931111829
GA avg1.01.61.30.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGornik ZabrzeRaków Częstochowa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%75%67%
1.538%25%38%38%
2.521%13%17%13%
3.54%8%8%4%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGornik ZabrzeRaków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Clean sheets145538
Failed to score437336

Penalties

MetricGornik ZabrzeRaków Częstochowa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricGornik ZabrzeRaków Częstochowa
Wins23
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-32-01-4
Biggest losses0-14-01-33-1
Goals For5324
Goals Against2534

Model comparison

MetricGornik ZabrzeRaków Częstochowa
Form20%80%
Att25%75%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Raków Częstochowa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ 10Bet
Away2.98 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betano
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gornik Zabrze = 1.64 (league 1.65), Raków Częstochowa = 1.41 (league 1.21)

Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gornik Zabrze 0 4.7% 6.7% 4.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
1 7.8% 11.0% 7.7% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.5% 4.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 32.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1