Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:45 • Chorten Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.64) 1.64 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 20.0% 27.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Piast Gliwice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 2.0% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.5% 7.4% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.1% 8.4% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.4% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.2% 3.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJagielloniaPiast Gliwice
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack64%55%
Defense36%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jagiellonia Piast Gliwice
HATHAT
Played101323121224
Wins60%31%43%33%33%33%
Draws20%46%35%25%17%21%
Loses20%23%22%42%50%46%

Form: Jagiellonia: LWWWWDWDDWWLLWDLDWWDDDL • Piast Gliwice: LLDDDDLWLLLDWWLWWLWWLLWL

League goals

Metric Jagiellonia Piast Gliwice
HATHAT
GF total251439121527
GF avg2.51.11.71.01.31.1
GA total151429131831
GA avg1.51.11.31.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJagielloniaPiast Gliwice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%74%67%71%
1.548%39%25%50%
2.526%9%17%8%
3.513%4%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJagielloniaPiast Gliwice
HATHAT
Clean sheets246527
Failed to score145448

Penalties

MetricJagielloniaPiast Gliwice
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricJagielloniaPiast Gliwice
Wins42
Draws34
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-21-3
Biggest losses0-43-01-33-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricJagielloniaPiast Gliwice
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total57.3%42.7%

Advice: Double chance : Jagiellonia or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.66 @ Pinnacle
Away4.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jagiellonia = 2.29 (league 1.64), Piast Gliwice = 1.64 (league 1.19)

Piast Gliwice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jagiellonia 0 2.0% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.5% 7.4% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.1% 8.4% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.9% 6.4% 5.3% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.2% 3.7% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 27.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1