Ekstraklasa — Poland
Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 18:00 • Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.65) 1.19 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.9% 26.8% 32.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.7%
0 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Korona Kielce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 8.0% 9.5% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 12.7% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogon SzczecinKorona Kielce
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack57%86%
Defense57%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogon Szczecin Korona Kielce
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins58%17%38%42%33%38%
Draws17%17%17%17%33%25%
Loses25%67%46%42%33%38%

Form: Pogon Szczecin: LWDLLWWLLLWDWLLWLDLDWWWL • Korona Kielce: LLDWDWWWDWLDLDLWLDWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Pogon Szczecin Korona Kielce
HATHAT
GF total24933161329
GF avg2.00.81.41.31.11.2
GA total162137141327
GA avg1.31.81.51.21.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogon SzczecinKorona Kielce
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%71%71%
1.538%46%33%29%
2.513%13%17%8%
3.58%8%0%4%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogon SzczecinKorona Kielce
HATHAT
Clean sheets314437
Failed to score156257

Penalties

MetricPogon SzczecinKorona Kielce
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricPogon SzczecinKorona Kielce
Wins33
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-23-01-3
Biggest losses0-35-11-43-1
Goals For5233
Goals Against4543

Model comparison

MetricPogon SzczecinKorona Kielce
Form63%38%
Att40%60%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total59.2%41.0%

Advice: Double chance : Pogon Szczecin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Betfair
Away3.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogon Szczecin = 1.34 (league 1.65), Korona Kielce = 1.19 (league 1.21)

Korona Kielce
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 8.0% 9.5% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 12.7% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.5% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 32.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1