Ekstraklasa — Poland
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:30 • Stadion im. Braci Czachorów
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.64) 0.83 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.8% 20.1% 14.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Radomiak Radom 0 5.6% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.5% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.0% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRadomiak RadomLegia Warszawa
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack50%80%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Radomiak Radom Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins58%8%33%42%8%25%
Draws17%50%33%33%50%42%
Loses25%42%33%25%42%33%

Form: Radomiak Radom: WDWLLDLLWDWLDWWLWDDLDDWL • Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDDLDDLLLDDWDW

League goals

Metric Radomiak Radom Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
GF total251540151328
GF avg2.11.31.71.31.11.2
GA total112536101929
GA avg0.92.11.50.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRadomiak RadomLegia Warszawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%75%75%
1.546%38%29%38%
2.525%21%8%8%
3.58%8%4%0%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRadomiak RadomLegia Warszawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets314516
Failed to score224426

Penalties

MetricRadomiak RadomLegia Warszawa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricRadomiak RadomLegia Warszawa
Wins21
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-11-23-1
Goals For5242
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricRadomiak RadomLegia Warszawa
Form36%64%
Att38%62%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Legia Warszawa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Radomiak Radom = 2.05 (league 1.64), Legia Warszawa = 0.83 (league 1.19)

Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Radomiak Radom 0 5.6% 4.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.5% 9.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.8% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.0% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.8% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 14.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1