Ekstraklasa — Poland
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 17:00 • Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.64) 1.97 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.8% 21.9% 50.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 3.6% 7.2% 7.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
1 4.9% 9.6% 9.5% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.5% 6.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiecieczaMotor Lublin
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack57%100%
Defense14%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nieciecza Motor Lublin
HATHAT
Played121224131124
Wins17%25%21%31%27%29%
Draws33%25%29%54%27%42%
Loses50%50%50%15%45%29%

Form: Nieciecza: WLDWLDLDLLLLDLWWLWLDDLDL • Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDDLLWDDWDLDWLLWWD

League goals

Metric Nieciecza Motor Lublin
HATHAT
GF total131528181432
GF avg1.11.31.21.41.31.3
GA total212142152237
GA avg1.81.81.81.22.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiecieczaMotor Lublin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%88%79%75%
1.529%42%46%42%
2.54%29%8%21%
3.54%13%0%13%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiecieczaMotor Lublin
HATHAT
Clean sheets123516
Failed to score325235

Penalties

MetricNiecieczaMotor Lublin
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricNiecieczaMotor Lublin
Wins22
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-43-01-2
Biggest losses0-35-12-54-1
Goals For2433
Goals Against4554

Model comparison

MetricNiecieczaMotor Lublin
Form30%70%
Att36%64%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h9%91%
Goals17%83%
Total31.8%68.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Motor Lublin

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away2.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nieciecza = 1.34 (league 1.64), Motor Lublin = 1.97 (league 1.19)

Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nieciecza 0 3.6% 7.2% 7.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
1 4.9% 9.6% 9.5% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.3% 6.5% 6.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.5% 2.9% 2.8% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.8% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 50.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1