Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:45 • KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.65) 0.97 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.0% 26.5% 25.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Lubin 0 8.8% 8.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.5% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZaglebie LubinLech Poznan
Played55
Form87%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense71%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zaglebie Lubin Lech Poznan
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins50%42%46%42%42%42%
Draws42%25%33%33%33%33%
Loses8%33%21%25%25%25%

Form: Zaglebie Lubin: LDDWLDWDWLWDDWLDWWLWDWWW • Lech Poznan: LWWDWLWDDWDDDLWDDLLWWWWL

League goals

Metric Zaglebie Lubin Lech Poznan
HATHAT
GF total241640251641
GF avg2.01.31.72.11.31.7
GA total111728221436
GA avg0.91.41.21.81.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZaglebie LubinLech Poznan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%67%88%75%
1.554%33%54%50%
2.517%8%17%21%
3.58%4%13%4%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZaglebie LubinLech Poznan
HATHAT
Clean sheets538156
Failed to score325033

Penalties

MetricZaglebie LubinLech Poznan
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricZaglebie LubinLech Poznan
Wins24
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-34-10-2
Biggest losses0-25-11-43-1
Goals For6344
Goals Against2543

Model comparison

MetricZaglebie LubinLech Poznan
Form52%48%
Att45%55%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : Zaglebie Lubin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away2.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.35 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zaglebie Lubin = 1.46 (league 1.65), Lech Poznan = 0.97 (league 1.21)

Lech Poznan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Lubin 0 8.8% 8.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.5% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 25.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1