Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 19:15 • Stadion Wojska Polskiego
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.64) 1.07 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.9% 27.9% 30.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 9.7% 10.3% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 13.1% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.8% 8.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegia WarszawaRaków Częstochowa
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack64%64%
Defense55%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legia Warszawa Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins42%8%24%42%46%44%
Draws33%54%44%25%8%16%
Loses25%38%32%33%46%40%

Form: Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDDLDDLLLDDWDWD • Raków Częstochowa: WLLWLLDDWWLWWWLWWLLDDWLWL

League goals

Metric Legia Warszawa Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
GF total151429132134
GF avg1.31.11.21.11.61.4
GA total102030112132
GA avg0.81.51.20.91.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegia WarszawaRaków Częstochowa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%76%76%68%
1.528%36%36%40%
2.58%8%16%16%
3.54%0%8%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegia WarszawaRaków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Clean sheets516538
Failed to score426336

Penalties

MetricLegia WarszawaRaków Częstochowa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricLegia WarszawaRaków Częstochowa
Wins13
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-01-4
Biggest losses1-23-11-33-1
Goals For4224
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricLegia WarszawaRaków Częstochowa
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h15%85%
Goals38%62%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Raków Częstochowa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Unibet
Draw3.35 @ 10Bet
Away3.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Legia Warszawa = 1.27 (league 1.64), Raków Częstochowa = 1.07 (league 1.20)

Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legia Warszawa 0 9.7% 10.3% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 13.1% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.8% 8.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 30.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1