Ekstraklasa — Poland
Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:30 • Motor Lublin Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.64) 1.30 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 26.9% 38.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Zaglebie Lubin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 8.2% 10.7% 7.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.8% 12.8% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.9% 7.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMotor LublinZaglebie Lubin
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack53%47%
Defense67%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Motor Lublin Zaglebie Lubin
HATHAT
Played131225131225
Wins31%33%32%46%42%44%
Draws54%25%40%38%25%32%
Loses15%42%28%15%33%24%

Form: Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDDLLWDDWDLDWLLWWDW • Zaglebie Lubin: LDDWLDWDWLWDDWLDWWLWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Motor Lublin Zaglebie Lubin
HATHAT
GF total181634241640
GF avg1.41.31.41.81.31.6
GA total152338121729
GA avg1.21.91.50.91.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMotor LublinZaglebie Lubin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%76%76%68%
1.548%40%52%32%
2.58%20%16%8%
3.50%12%8%4%
4.50%4%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMotor LublinZaglebie Lubin
HATHAT
Clean sheets516538
Failed to score235426

Penalties

MetricMotor LublinZaglebie Lubin
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricMotor LublinZaglebie Lubin
Wins23
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-26-21-3
Biggest losses2-54-10-25-1
Goals For3363
Goals Against5425

Model comparison

MetricMotor LublinZaglebie Lubin
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h91%9%
Goals67%33%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : Motor Lublin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away4.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Motor Lublin = 1.20 (league 1.64), Zaglebie Lubin = 1.30 (league 1.20)

Zaglebie Lubin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Motor Lublin 0 8.2% 10.7% 7.0% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.8% 12.8% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 5.9% 7.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 38.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1