Ekstraklasa — Poland
Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 15:30 • Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.64) 1.22 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 22.9% 25.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 4.7% 5.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.7% 10.6% 6.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack38%54%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogon Szczecin Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins62%15%38%38%8%23%
Draws15%15%15%38%54%46%
Loses23%69%46%23%38%31%

Form: Pogon Szczecin: LWDLLWWLLLWDWLLWLDLDWWWLWL • Legia Warszawa: WDWLLWDDWLLDDLDDLLLDDWDWDD

League goals

Metric Pogon Szczecin Legia Warszawa
HATHAT
GF total261036161430
GF avg2.00.81.41.21.11.2
GA total172340112031
GA avg1.31.81.50.81.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%85%77%77%
1.538%46%27%35%
2.512%12%8%8%
3.58%8%4%0%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
HATHAT
Clean sheets314516
Failed to score156426

Penalties

MetricPogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricPogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
Wins31
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-24-10-2
Biggest losses0-35-11-23-1
Goals For5242
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricPogon SzczecinLegia Warszawa
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Pogon Szczecin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ William Hill
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away2.63 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogon Szczecin = 1.83 (league 1.64), Legia Warszawa = 1.22 (league 1.18)

Legia Warszawa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogon Szczecin 0 4.7% 5.8% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.7% 10.6% 6.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.9% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 25.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1