Ekstraklasa — Poland
Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 12:45 • Stadion im. Braci Czachorów
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.64) 0.99 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.1% 18.3% 14.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Radomiak Radom 0 3.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.5% 8.4% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.4% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRadomiak RadomMotor Lublin
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack46%54%
Defense46%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Radomiak Radom Motor Lublin
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins54%8%31%36%33%35%
Draws23%46%35%50%25%38%
Loses23%46%35%14%42%27%

Form: Radomiak Radom: WDWLLDLLWDWLDWWLWDDLDDWLDL • Motor Lublin: WLDDLWDDDLLWDDWDLDWLLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Radomiak Radom Motor Lublin
HATHAT
GF total261642191635
GF avg2.01.21.61.41.31.3
GA total122840152338
GA avg0.92.21.51.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRadomiak RadomMotor Lublin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%81%73%
1.542%38%46%38%
2.523%23%8%19%
3.58%8%0%12%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRadomiak RadomMotor Lublin
HATHAT
Clean sheets314617
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricRadomiak RadomMotor Lublin
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricRadomiak RadomMotor Lublin
Wins22
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-12-54-1
Goals For5233
Goals Against2454

Model comparison

MetricRadomiak RadomMotor Lublin
Form28%72%
Att46%54%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h38%62%
Goals47%53%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Motor Lublin

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.70 @ Betfair
Away3.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.20 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.35 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Radomiak Radom = 2.32 (league 1.64), Motor Lublin = 0.99 (league 1.19)

Motor Lublin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Radomiak Radom 0 3.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.5% 8.4% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.4% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 14.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1