Ekstraklasa — Poland
Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 15:30 • KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.63) 0.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 17.0% 12.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Radomiak Radom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Lubin 0 3.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.5% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.3% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 5.1% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZaglebie LubinRadomiak Radom
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack43%43%
Defense57%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zaglebie Lubin Radomiak Radom
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%36%41%50%8%30%
Draws38%21%30%29%46%37%
Loses15%43%30%21%46%33%

Form: Zaglebie Lubin: LDDWLDWDWLWDDWLDWWLWDWWWLLL • Radomiak Radom: WDWLLDLLWDWLDWWLWDDLDDWLDLD

League goals

Metric Zaglebie Lubin Radomiak Radom
HATHAT
GF total241741271643
GF avg1.81.21.51.91.21.6
GA total122133132841
GA avg0.91.51.20.92.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZaglebie LubinRadomiak Radom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%70%85%85%
1.548%33%41%37%
2.515%11%22%22%
3.57%4%7%7%
4.54%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZaglebie LubinRadomiak Radom
HATHAT
Clean sheets538314
Failed to score437224

Penalties

MetricZaglebie LubinRadomiak Radom
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricZaglebie LubinRadomiak Radom
Wins32
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-35-11-2
Biggest losses0-25-10-24-1
Goals For6352
Goals Against2524

Model comparison

MetricZaglebie LubinRadomiak Radom
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h80%20%
Goals60%40%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Zaglebie Lubin or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Dafabet
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away3.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ SBO
Under 2.51.90 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zaglebie Lubin = 2.43 (league 1.63), Radomiak Radom = 0.92 (league 1.17)

Radomiak Radom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Lubin 0 3.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.5% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.3% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.4% 7.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 5.1% 4.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 17.0% · Away win 12.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1