Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:30 •
Polsat Plus Arena Gdansk
Expected Goals
2.17 (league 1.59)
1.77 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 20.5% | 31.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 1
7.5%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Raków Częstochowa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lechia Gdansk | 0 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lechia Gdansk | Raków Częstochowa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 54% | 62% |
| Defense | 46% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lechia Gdansk | Raków Częstochowa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| Wins | 53% | 29% | 41% | 43% | 40% | 41% |
| Draws | 27% | 21% | 24% | 29% | 20% | 24% |
| Loses | 20% | 50% | 34% | 29% | 40% | 34% |
Lechia GdanskLLDDLWLWWLDWLLWDWWWDWLDWLWWLD
Raków CzęstochowaWLLWLLDDWWLWWWLWWLLDDWLWLDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Lechia Gdansk | Raków Częstochowa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 22 | 56 | 18 | 23 | 41 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 21 | 31 | 52 | 13 | 23 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lechia Gdansk | Raków Częstochowa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 90% | 79% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 59% | 59% | 34% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 17% | 17% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 7% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lechia Gdansk | Raków Częstochowa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lechia Gdansk | Raków Częstochowa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lechia Gdansk | Raków Częstochowa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 6-2 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lechia Gdansk | Raków Częstochowa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 44.6% | 55.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away3.02 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.78 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.30 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…