Tue, Sep 2 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Jalisco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.60) 0.64 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.5% 25.6% 15.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
13.4%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mazatlán W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas W 0 11.4% 7.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.5% 11.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 8.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlas WMazatlán W
Played55
Form13%7%
Attack15%10%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 222 | 4.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlas W Mazatlán W
HATHAT
Played358347
Wins33%0%13%0%0%0%
Draws0%60%38%33%0%14%
Loses67%40%50%67%100%86%

Form: Atlas W: DLWDLDLL • Mazatlán W: LLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Atlas W Mazatlán W
HATHAT
GF total246224
GF avg0.70.80.80.70.50.6
GA total51015131427
GA avg1.72.01.94.33.53.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlas WMazatlán W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%57%100%
1.525%63%0%86%
2.50%38%0%57%
3.50%13%0%43%
4.50%0%0%43%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlas WMazatlán W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricAtlas WMazatlán W
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricAtlas WMazatlán W
Wins10
Draws11
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0
Biggest losses0-34-00-95-0
Goals For2211
Goals Against3495

Model comparison

MetricAtlas WMazatlán W
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h100%0%
Goals82%18%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Double chance : Atlas W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw6.50 @ 10Bet
Away14.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.41 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlas W = 1.53 (league 1.60), Mazatlán W = 0.64 (league 1.33)

Mazatlán W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas W 0 11.4% 7.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.5% 11.2% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 8.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.9% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.5% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 15.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1