Fri, Sep 5 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Corona
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.45 (league 1.60) 1.62 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.1% 19.1% 24.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
6.8%
3 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna W 0 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
1 4.2% 6.8% 5.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.1% 8.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.2% 6.8% 5.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.6% 4.1% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantos Laguna WNecaxa W
Played55
Form20%13%
Attack42%17%
Defense25%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)18 | 3.612 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Laguna W Necaxa W
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins33%0%13%25%0%13%
Draws0%20%13%50%0%25%
Loses67%80%75%25%100%63%

Form: Santos Laguna W: DLLWLLLL • Necaxa W: WLLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Santos Laguna W Necaxa W
HATHAT
GF total5611606
GF avg1.71.21.41.50.00.8
GA total814229918
GA avg2.72.82.82.32.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantos Laguna WNecaxa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%38%100%
1.538%63%25%50%
2.525%50%13%50%
3.50%25%0%25%
4.50%25%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantos Laguna WNecaxa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score112145

Penalties

MetricSantos Laguna WNecaxa W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricSantos Laguna WNecaxa W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-1
Biggest losses3-56-30-44-0
Goals For3330
Goals Against5644

Model comparison

MetricSantos Laguna WNecaxa W
Form60%40%
Att71%29%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total55.4%44.6%

Advice: Winner : Santos Laguna W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw5.25 @ 10Bet
Away7.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ SBO
Under 2.52.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.38 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santos Laguna W = 2.45 (league 1.60), Necaxa W = 1.62 (league 1.33)

Necaxa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos Laguna W 0 1.7% 2.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
1 4.2% 6.8% 5.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
2 5.1% 8.3% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.2% 6.8% 5.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.6% 4.1% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.3% 2.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.1% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 24.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1