Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio León
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.57) 2.08 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.6% 19.5% 66.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
12.6%
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Guadalajara W
0 1 2 3 4 5
León W 0 5.9% 12.2% 12.6% 8.7% 4.5% 1.9%
1 4.5% 9.3% 9.6% 6.7% 3.5% 1.4%
2 1.7% 3.5% 3.7% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeón WGuadalajara W
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack43%33%
Defense71%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric León W Guadalajara W
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins25%60%44%25%60%44%
Draws50%20%33%50%0%22%
Loses25%20%22%25%40%33%

Form: León W: DWLDLWDWW • Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDL

League goals

Metric León W Guadalajara W
HATHAT
GF total68145712
GF avg1.51.61.61.31.41.3
GA total84126410
GA avg2.00.81.31.50.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeón WGuadalajara W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%89%100%56%
1.556%33%33%33%
2.522%11%0%11%
3.50%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeón WGuadalajara W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011134
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricLeón WGuadalajara W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLeón WGuadalajara W
Wins13
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-31-00-2
Biggest losses0-31-02-42-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against3142

Model comparison

MetricLeón WGuadalajara W
Form67%33%
Att56%44%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h7%93%
Goals21%79%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guadalajara W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.33 @ 10Bet
Draw3.75 @ Betway
Away1.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): León W = 0.76 (league 1.57), Guadalajara W = 2.08 (league 1.35)

Guadalajara W
0 1 2 3 4 5
León W 0 5.9% 12.2% 12.6% 8.7% 4.5% 1.9%
1 4.5% 9.3% 9.6% 6.7% 3.5% 1.4%
2 1.7% 3.5% 3.7% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 66.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1