Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio El Encanto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.59) 4.69 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.9% 5.1% 58.9%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.8%
0 - 4
6.7%
1 - 5
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán W 0 0.3% 1.6% 3.7% 5.8% 6.7% 6.3%
1 0.3% 1.6% 3.7% 5.8% 6.8% 6.4%
2 0.2% 0.8% 1.9% 2.9% 3.4% 3.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMazatlán WCruz Azul W
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack12%56%
Defense40%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.614 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 39 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mazatlán W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
Played358549
Wins0%0%0%60%0%33%
Draws33%0%13%0%50%22%
Loses67%100%88%40%50%44%

Form: Mazatlán W: LLLLLDLL • Cruz Azul W: LWLLDWDWL

League goals

Metric Mazatlán W Cruz Azul W
HATHAT
GF total23514620
GF avg0.70.60.62.81.52.2
GA total1316296915
GA avg4.33.23.61.22.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMazatlán WCruz Azul W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%100%89%78%
1.50%88%44%56%
2.50%50%44%33%
3.50%38%33%0%
4.50%38%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMazatlán WCruz Azul W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricMazatlán WCruz Azul W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMazatlán WCruz Azul W
Wins01
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0
Biggest losses0-95-01-23-1
Goals For1153
Goals Against9533

Model comparison

MetricMazatlán WCruz Azul W
Form11%89%
Att18%82%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total21.8%78.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Cruz Azul W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home17.00 @ Unibet
Draw8.50 @ Unibet
Away1.19 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mazatlán W = 1.01 (league 1.59), Cruz Azul W = 4.69 (league 1.38)

Cruz Azul W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán W 0 0.3% 1.6% 3.7% 5.8% 6.7% 6.3%
1 0.3% 1.6% 3.7% 5.8% 6.8% 6.4%
2 0.2% 0.8% 1.9% 2.9% 3.4% 3.2%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.9% · Draw 5.1% · Away win 58.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1