Sat, Sep 6 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Olímpico Universitario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.60) 1.08 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.3% 19.6% 17.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.1%
1 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Toluca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pumas UNAM W 0 3.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.3% 8.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.8% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPumas UNAM WToluca W
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack62%38%
Defense62%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pumas UNAM W Toluca W
HATHAT
Played538459
Wins80%67%75%100%40%67%
Draws0%33%13%0%40%22%
Loses20%0%13%0%20%11%

Form: Pumas UNAM W: WWDWWLWW • Toluca W: DWWWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Pumas UNAM W Toluca W
HATHAT
GF total118196915
GF avg2.22.72.41.51.81.7
GA total459189
GA avg0.81.71.10.31.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePumas UNAM WToluca W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%63%89%56%
1.563%25%56%11%
2.538%25%22%11%
3.525%0%0%11%
4.513%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPumas UNAM WToluca W
HATHAT
Clean sheets303314
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricPumas UNAM WToluca W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPumas UNAM WToluca W
Wins25
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-03-52-01-3
Biggest losses2-35-3
Goals For4523
Goals Against3315

Model comparison

MetricPumas UNAM WToluca W
Form55%45%
Att62%38%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total64.8%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Pumas UNAM W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ 10Bet
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away3.45 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Betano
Under 2.52.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ 188Bet
No2.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pumas UNAM W = 2.20 (league 1.60), Toluca W = 1.08 (league 1.33)

Toluca W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pumas UNAM W 0 3.8% 4.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 8.3% 8.9% 4.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.8% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.7% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.3% · Draw 19.6% · Away win 17.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1