Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Jalisco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.60) 0.79 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.2% 32.0% 26.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tijuana W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 15.8% 12.4% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.7% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.8% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara WTijuana W
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack90%60%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara W Tijuana W
HATHAT
Played47115611
Wins25%71%55%20%17%18%
Draws50%0%18%40%17%27%
Loses25%29%27%40%67%55%

Form: Guadalajara W: WWWLDLWDLWW • Tijuana W: DLLDLLLLWDW

League goals

Metric Guadalajara W Tijuana W
HATHAT
GF total511166410
GF avg1.31.61.51.20.70.9
GA total65118816
GA avg1.50.71.01.61.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara WTijuana W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%55%64%82%
1.545%27%18%55%
2.50%9%9%9%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara WTijuana W
HATHAT
Clean sheets145112
Failed to score000044

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara WTijuana W
Scored (total | %)1 | 50.00%1 | 33.33%
Missed (total | %)1 | 50.00%2 | 66.67%
Total23

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara WTijuana W
Wins31
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-00-3
Biggest losses2-42-11-32-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against4232

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara WTijuana W
Form59%41%
Att60%40%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ 10Bet
Draw5.49 @ Pinnacle
Away9.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.52 @ Betano
Under 2.52.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara W = 1.06 (league 1.60), Tijuana W = 0.79 (league 1.33)

Tijuana W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara W 0 15.8% 12.4% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.7% 13.2% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.8% 7.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 26.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1