Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 02:00 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.75 (league 1.60) 1.44 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.2% 11.0% 9.7%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.0%
4 - 1
6.6%
2 - 1
5.6%
Score & goals probability table
Querétaro W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tijuana W 0 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.9% 5.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.9% 7.0% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.4% 5.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTijuana WQuerétaro W
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack26%26%
Defense79%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.817 | 3.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tijuana W Querétaro W
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins20%14%17%14%0%8%
Draws40%14%25%43%20%33%
Loses40%71%58%43%80%58%

Form: Tijuana W: DLLDLLLLWDWL • Querétaro W: DLLLLDDLLLDW

League goals

Metric Tijuana W Querétaro W
HATHAT
GF total64106612
GF avg1.20.60.80.91.21.0
GA total81018152540
GA avg1.61.41.52.15.03.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTijuana WQuerétaro W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%83%58%100%
1.517%58%42%67%
2.58%8%0%33%
3.50%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTijuana WQuerétaro W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score055325

Penalties

MetricTijuana WQuerétaro W
Scored (total | %)1 | 33.33%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)2 | 66.67%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricTijuana WQuerétaro W
Wins10
Draws12
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-1
Biggest losses1-32-00-711-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against32711

Model comparison

MetricTijuana WQuerétaro W
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def81%19%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Tijuana W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.85 @ Marathonbet
Away7.75 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tijuana W = 3.75 (league 1.60), Querétaro W = 1.44 (league 1.33)

Querétaro W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tijuana W 0 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.1% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.9% 5.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.9% 7.0% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
4 4.6% 6.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.4% 5.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 9.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1